News list for "社民意"

路透社民调显示哈里斯支持率高于特朗普,但 Polymarket 上特朗普仍大幅领先

在最近的路透社民意调查中,卡马拉·哈里斯(44%)以微弱优势领先于唐纳德·特朗普(42%)。误差幅度在 3 个百分点以内,这意味着在最糟糕的情况下,哈里斯将落后特朗普 1%。 但加密货币预测市场 Polymarket 预测特朗普仍将以相当大的优势获胜。该市场预测特朗普赢得大选的几率为 62%,而哈里斯的几率为 36%。

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2024-07-24 14:28:54
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