News list for "rbc"

RBC: If the US unemployment rate rises to 4.4%, a 50 basis point rate cut will be a high probability event

RBC capital markets economist Michael Reid said a 50 basis point rate cut would be a high probability event if the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%. But he also said that if the unemployment rate falls and job growth remains at 100,000 or more, the Fed will be cautious about cutting interest rates significantly. Especially with the presidential election looming, the Fed could be accused of favoring the ruling party by cutting interest rates to boost the economy. The futures market expects the Fede...

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2024-09-06 11:59:18
RBC:若美国失业率上升至4.4%,降息50基点将成为大概率事件

RBC 资本市场经济学家 Michael Reid 表示,如果失业率上升至 4.4%,50 个基点的降息将成为大概率事件。但他也表示,如果失业率下降而就业增长保持在 10 万个或以上,美联储将会对大幅降息保持谨慎。特别是在总统大选临近的情况下,美联储可能会被指责为通过降息来促进经济,从而偏袒执政党。 期货市场预计美联储本月将迎来 25 个基点的首次降息,今年累计降息幅度将...

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2024-09-06 11:59:18
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