In an interview with NBC News, U.S. Treasury Secretary Vincent Besant asked that under former President Biden, the U.S. economy did add nearly 500,000 manufacturing jobs. Then, starting in April, manufacturing jobs began to decrease again. Does that pose a problem for your policies? Mr. Bescent said last year's revision would be available this week (from April to the end of March) and could be revised down by as much as 80 per cent.
Jeffrey Leschen, Managing Director of Bramshill Investments: We are not surprised by the non-farm payroll in August. There is some uncertainty due to tariffs and artificial intelligence, which may put pressure on corporate hiring plans. There are a lot of things that are positive in the future, such as investment in the United States may bring manufacturing jobs. But it will take a while to penetrate into the economy. The data shows that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 50 basis poi...
The impact of the sharp downward revision of non-agricultural products continued to ferment, and the 10-year US Treasury yield hit a key support area, breaking or driving the US index into a deep decline. Investment banks believe that the US dollar index still has X% room for decline in the medium term...
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 93.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 6.7%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 24%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 71%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 5%. Before the non-farm announcement, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 76.7, and the probab...
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 76.7, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 23.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 4.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 73.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 21.8%. The US "small non-farm" data released on Wednesday night unexpectedly recorded negative values, and the US ...
On April 4th, the US non-farm payrolls recorded 228,000 after the March quarterly adjustment, an increase higher than the 135,000 expected by the market.
Andrew Taylor, head of trading at JPMorgan Chase, said the US non-farm payrolls data needed to remain within a reasonable range to support continued gains in the stock market. Specifically, if the number of new jobs is less than 150,000 or more than 230,000, it will put pressure on the stock market. If the employment data is as low as 110,000, it could lead to a 1.5% drop in the S & P 500 index, which would reflect the accelerating impact of global trade concerns on the US economy. Excessive emp...
Why did the price of gold not fall but rise after the non-agricultural bearish? Gold can continue to pay attention to this support in the future market! Under the pressure of a strong dollar, the pound needs to pay attention to two key levels next... Click to view the key points of each asset based on order flow > >
The US dollar is strong against non-US currencies, but it is powerless against gold bulls! Non-farm prices are off the charts, and the market expects only one interest rate cut this year! Trump threatens military takeover of Greenland, Musk stirs up European politics... What stimulus markets did you miss this week?
The non-farm payroll came this Friday, and the institutional model predicted that the key unemployment rate data would surprise people, which would have a major impact on the risk market...