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巴克莱:料英国央行以8:1的投票结果维持利率不变

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2024-09-19 06:09:24
巴克莱分析称,预计英国央行将以8比1的投票结果支持维持利率不变,并将资产购买工具(APF)资产减持1000亿英镑。“我们认为,拉姆斯登和/或泰勒有一定概率与丁格拉一同投票支持降息,所以我们1-8的投票比例预期有倾向3-6的风险。”预计会议声明的基调仍将保持谨慎,同时承认通胀朝着可持续回归目标的方向取得了进一步进展。围绕需要保持限制性政策的现有指引可能会保持不变。预计利率将在11月、12月和明年2月、5月和8月相继下调25个基点,到2025年8月达到3.75%。
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