瑞银已将澳洲联储首次降息的预期从明年 5 月提前至 2 月,并表示,美联储在未来一年一致降息的下行效应,也将给澳洲联储提供放松的空间。
瑞银首席经济学家 George Tharenou 表示,澳大利亚的利率将在更长时间内保持在较高水平,至少相对于全球趋势而言是如此。全球趋势正变得越来越鸽派。瑞银目前预计,美国的终端利率将更低,联邦基金利率将迅速降至远低于澳洲联储官方现金利率的水平。他说,这些因素意味着澳洲联储可能会更早开始放松货币政策。(金十)
瑞银:美联储大幅降息将促使澳洲联储更早放松货币政策
2024-09-19 06:00:21
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