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Experts Warn Bitcoin Quantum Risk Is Being Underestimated

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2026-07-23 21:21:12
Stefano Gogioso and Daniela Herrmann warned that the crypto industry is treating quantum computing risk too casually, arguing the focus should be on the odds and cost of a Bitcoin break rather than a fixed “Q-Day” date. According to BeInCrypto, Gogioso said even a 2% chance of failure by 2030 could justify action, while Herrmann said estimates for practical quantum computing have shortened rapidly.

The panel cited Google research suggesting Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve cryptography could require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits to break, and said migration to quantum-resistant cryptography could take years.
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