The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates only twice next year
2025-11-18 07:24:13
Christian Lenk, an analyst at the German Central Cooperation Bank, said in the report that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, after which it will take more cautious action. He predicted that the Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates twice more, by 25 basis points each time, in March and June next year. The German Central Cooperation Bank expects that higher inflation will still push up the 10-year Treasury yield despite the Federal Reserve's rate cut. US inflation is expected to rise in the coming quarters due to the impact of temporary tariffs and large government deficits. The long end of the yield curve may move further higher, but ultimately yields will not deviate too far from current levels. The 10-year Treasury yield is expected to rise to 4.50% in the next three months (currently 4.103%) and to 4.60% in six months.
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