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The new trend in the US job market: the disappearance of job-hopping dividends, and the obvious wait-and-see attitude of enterprises

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2025-09-03 21:12:42
Wages for those left behind in the US outpaced those who switched jobs in July for the sixth month in a row, the longest pace since the end of the recession in 2008, according to data from the Atlanta Federal Reserve. The three-month average showed that annual wage growth for those left behind in July was 4.1%, higher than the 4% wage increase for those who switched jobs. Employees typically get higher wage growth by switching jobs, so the unusual reversal highlights that labor demand is slowing in recent months. "Companies are on the sidelines right now, pausing potential hiring plans as they wait for clarity on the policy outlook - particularly tariffs," said Stanley Santander, chief economist at US capital markets. This caution may explain why job-hoppers' wages have not risen as much as those who stayed behind, but it is very different from the economic landscape in the immediate aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. "
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