The Kobeissi Letter released its latest market analysis, saying that Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell has effectively capitulated. The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in a month, blaming "weakness in the labor market". At the same time, PPI inflation rose at the highest level in three years, and CPI inflation was above 2% for 53 consecutive months.
In order to better understand what is happening, one must first understand the Fed's mandate: The Fed's purpose is to reduce unemployment and avoid inflation/deflation, which is the Fed's "dual mandate". Since 2021, the Fed has been highly focused on the inflation side. Yet Fed Chairperson Powell's speech on Friday made a major shift: "A change in the balance of risks may require us to adjust our policy stance." In other words, the Fed now sees a greater risk of unemployment than inflation, which all but confirms that a rate cut is coming.
Analysis: Powell has actually caved, cut interest rates in September "on-board DingTalk"
2025-08-24 04:48:46
Disclaimer:
1. The information provided does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions and bear all risks themselves.
2. The copyright of this content belongs to the original author. The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not represent the stance or position of this website.
Previous article:
分析:鲍威尔实际已经屈服,9月降息“板上钉钉”Next article:
业内人士:香港金管局删除巴塞尔委员会加密资产定义中“私有”一词,扩大监管范围