Polymarket预测鲍威尔2025年下台的概率约为20%
2025-07-17 03:47:39
媒体爆出特朗普曾询问共和党议员是否应罢免美联储主席鲍威尔后，预测市场上鲍威尔被罢免的概率一度飙升至约40%，同时美国2年期国债收益率快速下跌；但随着特朗普随后澄清“并不打算解雇鲍威尔”，预测概率迅速回落至20%附近，收益率部分反弹。
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