Global crude oil shipments soared to 120 million barrels, a new high of at least seven years! At the same time, market sentiment is turning bearish, but geopolitical risks make aggressive shorting face huge resistance, and a fierce game between supply and demand is playing out. Click to view...
A trader is betting heavily that Brent crude will fall below $50 a barrel by the end of the year, with put options equivalent to 10 million barrels of crude suddenly flooding the market, arguing that global supply growth will overwhelm geopolitical risks from Ukraine to the Middle East. Click to view
The European Central Bank's decision is coming tonight, and Lagarde may "play Tai Chi" again, refusing to disclose the interest rate path! Although inflation is up to standard, trade political risks are everywhere, the fate of the euro is hanging by a thread, and investors are betting on an "insurance-style interest rate cut" by the end of the year! Click to view
Options market undercurrents surged, the 152 strike price gathered 1 billion dollars bullish bets, the Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly election defeat heralded the ruling party's national election crisis, and the political risk of the yen continued to rise. Click to view...
Trump's intervention in the independence of the Federal Reserve and heightened global geopolitical risks have raised calls for the world's second- and third-largest gold reserves to be shipped home. Click to view...
Geopolitical risks intensified, and crude oil rebounded. The upper limit of the range continues to be a key resistance to exert pressure. If it fails to break through here, it may continue to fluctuate.
The increase in production failed to boost the trend of the oil market, and the oil price seemed to suddenly realize the existence of geopolitical risks. The "balance game between oil and missiles" is back, and analysts believe that the channel for oil prices to continue to rise is still very narrow.
The TD Cowen Washington research group, led by Jarrett Seeberg, wrote in a report that political risk in the crypto industry is on the rise because of the political backlash associated with U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration.
El-Erian pointed out that the current environment has undergone fundamental changes. If the Federal Reserve continues to insist, political and economic risks will follow... Click to view...
Tariff cannons and rising geopolitical risks further increase the attractiveness of gold, but there are still signs of pressure on the rise in gold prices. Investors are waiting for tonight's non-farm data. Unless this high can be broken, the probability of a bullish breakout is not high.