According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by March next year is 44.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 46%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 9.5%.
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%,维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为44.4%,维持利率不变的概率为46%,累计降息50个基点的概率为9.5%。
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by March next year is 43.5%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 47.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 9.1%.
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%,维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为43.5%,维持利率不变的概率为47.5%,累计降息50个基点的概率为9.1%。
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%,维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为43.5%,维持利率不变的概率为47.5%,累计降息50个基点的概率为9.1%。
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by March next year is 41.9%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 8.3%. (Jin Ten)
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储明年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%,维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。到明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为41.9%,维持利率不变的概率为49.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为8.3%。(金十)
According to CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.69%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March next year is 41.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 50.5%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points in total is 8.1%.
据CME“美联储观察”:美联储2026年1月降息25个基点的概率为24.4%,维持利率不变的概率为75.69%。美联储到明年3月累计降息25个基点的概率为41.4%,维持利率不变的概率为50.5%,累计降息50个基点的概率为8.1%。
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by March next year is 40.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 52%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 7.6%.