On August 7, Polymarket predicted that the probability of Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election has dropped to 52%, and the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 US presidential election has risen to 46%.
On August 3rd, Polymarket predicted that the probability of Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election has dropped to 53%, and the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 US presidential election has risen to 44%.