JPMorgan economist Nora Szentivanyi expects U.S. non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000 in September, showing that labor demand is still slowing, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is still likely to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at a time. "If the data is around 100,000, then it raises the possibility of a significant rate cut". If the data shows a significant weakening, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points may be reinvigorated....
摩根大通经济学家 Nora Szentivanyi 预计,美国 9 月非农就业人数将增加 12.5 万人,显示劳动力需求仍然在放缓,暗示美联储仍有可能单次降息 50 个基点。“如果数据在 10 万人左右,那么会提高大幅降息的可能性”。如果数据显示大幅走弱,市场对美联储再次降息 50 个基点的预期可能会重新焕发活力。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克此前表示,低于 10 万人的数据将引起关注。(金十...