The two major oil market institutions continue to divide their judgments on the outlook for supply and demand. The United States' threat to withdraw from the IEA has exacerbated market uncertainty. Oil prices are hovering in the middle of the shock range. Can summer demand save oil prices?
The increase in production failed to boost the trend of the oil market, and the oil price seemed to suddenly realize the existence of geopolitical risks. The "balance game between oil and missiles" is back, and analysts believe that the channel for oil prices to continue to rise is still very narrow.
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Gold is about to start a new crazy journey! If the oil market loses this level, it may plunge further? Tariffs will lead to "stagflation" in the United States, and the best chance for the dollar to cover the gap is in...
EIA crude oil inventories stopped falling for nine consecutive years, and the balance of the oil market began to shift to excess? In the context of continued decline, is there still the possibility of crude oil going long?
On January 21, Trump announced a plan to increase U.S. oil and gas production and said he was considering imposing a 25% tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico from February 1, rather than imposing it immediately, both of which are conducive to lower oil prices. U.S. and cloth oil futures were lower in the Asian session. However, in the future, the imposition of tariffs on Canadian crude oil may push the market higher. Federal Bank analyst Vivek Dhar said that almost all of Canada's oil...
The implementation of Trump's policy may bring bilateral risks to the oil market, but crude oil risks are still biased to the upside in the short term. Does the current spot premium provide such a trading opportunity? > >
Analysts believe that the oil market has achieved a breakthrough, and the bulls are expected to continue their upward offensive. However, the upside is limited and does not exceed this value. They are still relatively pessimistic about the outlook, and the balance of tail risks is more tilted towards the downside.
In 2024, the oil market lacks a main line, and the title of "King of Volatility" is not worthy of its name. Will Trump's return in 2025 cause waves in the oil market? What are the expectations of major institutional investment banks for future oil prices?
In its 2025 oil market outlook, GM pointed out that the surplus issue remains the dominant factor in the outlook for crude oil. To reflect this, it has moderately lowered its price forecast to... > >