Bond traders are betting that the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path over the coming year will be shallower and shorter than previously expected, part of a global market bet that major central banks will slow or stop monetary easing. In addition to a 25 basis point rate cut expected on Wednesday, traders now expect the central bank to total just 5 percent in 2026, futures and options trading showed.
According to Polymarket's official website data, the market bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 81%.
Markets are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, but analysts have warned that the U.S. economy is facing stagflation rather than recession, which will make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to act. Click to view...
According to reports, traders are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates once this year amid signs of resilient economic growth and lingering inflation. The U.S. will release May CPI data on Wednesday, which is expected to pick up, strengthening the central bank's wait-and-see attitude towards further easing of monetary policy as it assesses the impact of tariffs. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain interest rate stability next week, tracking fu...
Traders continue to bet that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time in September and for the second time in October.
U.S. short-term interest rate futures continue to bet that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in June and predict a total of three rate cuts in 2025, after Powell said the central bank did not need to rush into action.
U.S. short-term interest rate futures continue to bet that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in June and predict a total of three rate cuts in 2025, after Powell said the central bank did not need to rush into action.
On December 20, traders continued to bet that the Federal Reserve would pause interest rate cuts in January and increased their bets that the Fed would cut rates in March, with another cut expected in October.
Traders are betting the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 50 basis points in September after unemployment rose to 4.3 percent in July.