After the non-farm payroll announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November rose to 89.4%.
2024-10-04 13:17:54
On October 4th, after the non-farm announcement, CME "Federal Reserve Watch" showed that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November was 89.4%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points was 10.6%. By December, the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points was 74.5%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 75 basis points was 23.7%; the probability of reducing interest rates by 100 basis points was 1.8%. Before the non-farm announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November was 71.5%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points was 28.5%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points by December is 45.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 44.0%; the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 10.2%.
Disclaimer:
1. The information provided does not constitute investment advice. Investors should make independent decisions and bear all risks themselves.
2. The copyright of this content belongs to the original author. The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not represent the stance or position of this website.
Previous article：
非农公布后，美联储11月降息25个基点的概率升至89.4%Next article：
Babylon：积分已在主网可见并上线积分计划
