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澳洲联储料将第七次维持利率不变

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2024-09-24 04:26:21
据外媒报道,澳洲联储几乎肯定会在周二的会议上连续第七次将利率维持在4.35%的12年高点不变,原因是劳动力市场的弹性和通胀的粘性(如果正在减弱的话)迫使央行在更长时间内维持较高的利率立场。澳大利亚8月份就业大幅增长,而失业率保持稳定,这与澳洲联储有关高利率正在减缓劳动力需求的观点相左。7月通胀率降至四个月低点,但主要是受政府能源补贴的影响,住房成本和服务业通胀等其他方面的进展仍然缓慢。这些因素只会加强澳洲联储的鹰派决心。澳洲联储还可能强调,在面对经济放缓、消费者支出和信心疲软的情况下,它寻求保持灵活性,不排除政策上的任何变动。
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