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摩根大通:美联储暗示将对宽松周期更为谨慎

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2024-09-19 06:06:23
摩根大通资产管理公司全球市场策略师KerryCraig在一份报告中表示,美联储已经发出信号,表明将对宽松周期采取更为谨慎的态度。Craig称,鲍威尔通过平衡“回归中性利率的紧迫性”和承认“相对稳定的经济状态”,进行了良好的沟通。Craig补充说,人们关注的焦点也更多地转向了就业优先的方式,而不是通胀。降息的规模可能不如最终目标重要,最终目标是通过预计到2025年底再降息150个基点,到2026年将政策利率调整到更接近美联储中性的观点。Craig称,如果名义增长和宽松周期保持稳定,股票和债券应该会受益。(金十)
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