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机构:加拿大央行信息表明将保持稳定的降息步伐

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2024-09-04 15:41:25
牛津经济研究院的Tony Stillo和Michael Davenport表示,加拿大央行今日的降息并没有完全放弃之前的信息,即降息将逐次会议决定,它仍然强调了对住房和服务业通胀升高的担忧。分析师认为,这意味着大幅降息50个基点的可能性暂时不存在。但随着加央行重新关注下行风险,经济疲软和通胀放缓将促使加拿大央行在10月和12月推进25个基点的降息举措。这样的稳定步伐应能在2025年9月之前将政策利率降至2.25%,这是加拿大央行中性利率预期的下限。
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