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机构:尽管市场波动,美联储不大可能紧急降息

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2024-08-06 07:46:10
DWS全球首席投资官Björn Jesch表示,尽管近期市场动荡,但美联储可能会继续其预期的政策路径。他在一份报告中表示,美联储不太可能出现由恐慌驱动的反应,他预计央行将试图避免发出政策重大转变的信号,比如降息50个基点或在两次会议之间紧急降息。他预计,美联储将坚持渐进的宽松方式,从9月份开始,在未来几个月里逐次降息25个基点。不能排除美国经济出现衰退的可能性,但考虑到经济的整体实力和私营部门稳健的资产负债表,即使真的出现衰退,也可能是温和的。DWS并不认为熊市即将来临,但将密切关注反映系统性风险的指标。
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