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观点:9月降息仍面临巨大风险

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2024-07-09 22:27:32
利率策略师Ira Jersey表示,鲍威尔的证词没有太多新内容,但它确实强调了美联储对数据的依赖程度。9月是可能的降息时点,但仍面临巨大风险,可能会被指控(在大选前)帮助民主党。同时许多投资者担心通胀仍然过高。个人认为,降息的紧迫性不高。但是一旦美联储真的开始降息,他们就会想要继续,而且可能比市场定价的要快。我们预计美联储将在11月开始降息。
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