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油脂半年报:油脂期价有底部支撑但缺乏驱动

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2024-06-25 08:48:42
金十期货6月25日讯,油脂在年度级别产量增幅和消费增幅基本持平,供需结构层面缺乏核心驱动;棕榈油现实偏强,但中期预期较弱。菜油现实疲软,但新作减产预期偏强。豆油现实疲弱,预期偏弱,但价格有较强支撑。季度级别上,油脂现货供给充足预计价格持续偏弱,油脂期价有底部支撑但缺乏驱动,供需驱动变量来自:欧盟减产幅度;印尼减产情况;加拿大新作产量。否则需要宏观驱动整体抬升国外油脂成本,进而传导至国内。
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