预测市场:特朗普和拜登预计不会在辩论中握手
2024-06-17 22:42:36
据Polymarket预测市场显示,特朗普和拜登在2024年总统竞选的首场辩论中可能不会握手。市场合约目前认为握手事件发生的可能性仅为32%。自2016年以来,由于辩论愈加尖锐,握手传统已中断。同时,Manifold市场预测《卫报》可能会更正一篇不利于预测市场的文章,有84%的概率发生。
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