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韩银加息与扩张财政相抵牾

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2026-07-20 01:38:28
据韩联社报道,韩国银行(BOK)上周将基准利率上调至2.75%,为3年半来首次加息,旨在抑制受油价、地缘冲突和韩元走弱推动的输入型通胀。韩国消费者价格已连续两个月高于3%,韩元过去一个月大多徘徊在1美元兑1500韩元上方。

文章称,韩国出口虽创纪录,主要受半导体繁荣带动,但家庭债务接近2000万亿韩元(约1.34万亿美元),小商户和借款人承压明显。韩国银行估算,每加息25个基点,自雇借款人年利息支出将增加约1.8万亿韩元,且自雇群体拖欠率已升至10年来最高。与此同时,李在明政府正准备明年超过800万亿韩元的扩张性预算,并考虑动用超预期的半导体税收增加支出。
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