据CME“美联储观察”，美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为85.6%，累计加息25个基点的概率为14.4%。
到9月，美联储维持利率不变的概率为41.4%，累计加息25个基点的概率为51.2%，累计加息50个基点的概率为7.5%。
美联储7月按兵不动概率85.6%
2026-07-17 22:04:16
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