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焦炭保持供需双强的紧平衡状态,多空均需观望

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2024-06-12 10:53:04
金十期货6月12日讯,焦炭方面,提涨落空后钢厂开启二轮提降50-55元/吨;供应端,整体焦化利润在盈亏平衡附近,多数焦企仍有利润空间,开工产量保持稳定高位;需求端铁水日均产量周环比-0.1万吨至235.8万吨,后续铁水或有小幅增长空间,但其变量带来的驱动较小;库存方面,焦企出货顺畅,多数焦企无库存压力,下游钢厂维持按需采购,库存在中等偏低位置;整体看焦炭自身无明显矛盾,盘面较厂库仓单仍体现一轮左右的升水;但从本轮提降幅度来看,钢厂仍有一定程度缺货,焦炭保持供需双强的紧平衡状态,且估值在中等位置,多空均需观望。后续仍关注钢需表现及钢材价格走势。
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