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Fed Rate Hold Seen as Most Likely Outcome for July, CME FedWatch Shows

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2026-07-09 22:06:53
CME FedWatch data showed a 74.9% probability that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged in July, and a 25.1% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike. According to Jin10, the tool put the probability of rates remaining unchanged by September at 35.7%, with a 51.1% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 13.1% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike.
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