The CME FedWatch tool put the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July at 69.0%. According to Jin10, the tool showed a 31.0% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike by July.
For September, the CME FedWatch tool showed a 31.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged. It also showed a 51.9% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike by September and a 17.0% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike by September.
Federal Reserve July Rate Hold Seen at 69%, CME FedWatch Data Shows
2026-07-08 22:04:31
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