The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July was 77%, according to CME FedWatch.
According to Jin10, CME FedWatch showed a 23% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike in July.
For September, the probability of rates remaining unchanged was 41.9%. The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike by September was 47.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike was 10.5%.
Federal Reserve July Hold Seen at 77% Probability, CME FedWatch Data Show
2026-07-05 21:58:33
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美联储7月维持利率不变概率77%