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Federal Reserve July Hold Seen at 77% Probability, CME FedWatch Data Show

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2026-07-05 21:58:33
The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July was 77%, according to CME FedWatch.

According to Jin10, CME FedWatch showed a 23% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike in July.

For September, the probability of rates remaining unchanged was 41.9%. The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike by September was 47.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike was 10.5%.
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