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Fed Rate Hold Seen at 70.1% in July, CME FedWatch Data Show

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2026-06-30 06:02:16
The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July was 70.1%, according to CME FedWatch.

According to Jin10, CME FedWatch showed a 29.9% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate increase by July.

For September, CME FedWatch put the probability of rates remaining unchanged at 37.2%. It showed a 48.8% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase by September and a 14.1% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point increase.
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