CME FedWatch data indicates markets are pricing a 63.7% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July, with a 36.3% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike. According to ChainCatcher, the figures were cited in a report by Jin10.
For September, CME FedWatch shows a 26.1% probability of rates remaining unchanged, a 52.2% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike, and a 21.4% probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike.
CME FedWatch Shows July Rate Hold Probability at 63.7%
2026-06-22 22:13:40
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