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AI TRENDS | Polymarket Odds Fall to 41% for Claude Fable 5 U.S. Access Returning by June 26

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2026-06-21 08:14:22
Polymarket’s probability that Claude Fable 5 will restore access for U.S. customers by June 26 fell to 41%, down 16 percentage points over the past 24 hours. According to Odaily, Anthropic suspended global access to the model days after releasing it on June 9, citing U.S. government export controls imposed on national security grounds.

Odaily reported that Anthropic executives submitted a proposal to U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick and pledged closer cooperation with the White House, aiming to address security concerns that led to restrictions on its “Mythos” and “Fable” models.

People familiar with the matter said Anthropic has committed during ongoing remediation talks to resolve any security issues more quickly, but there is no definitive timetable for a full resolution. Another person said Anthropic co-founder and chief computing officer Tom Brown and public policy head Sarah Heck are leading negotiations with officials in the Trump administration. Representatives for Anthropic and the Commerce Department did not respond to requests for comment.
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