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Markets Price 79% Chance the Fed Holds Rates in July, Kalshi Data Show

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2026-06-21 01:23:46
Markets are pricing a 79% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July, based on the latest data from Kalshi. According to Foresight News, the same data indicate a 20% chance of a 25-basis-point rate increase and a 2% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut.
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