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凯投宏观:印度央行或很快加息

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2026-06-15 06:57:14
据金十数据报道,凯投宏观分析师Shilan Shah在一份报告中指出,随着通胀压力不断积聚,印度央行可能很快开始上调政策利率。

尽管5月份整体CPI涨幅升至3.9%,仍低于央行4%的目标,但这是自2025年2月以来的最高通胀读数。

他称,通胀加速主要因燃料通胀飙升,上个月汽油价格已连续四次上调,未来几周可能会有更多涨价;更广泛的供应链中断也将开始推高核心通胀。

凯投宏观预计,印度央行将在2026年加息75个基点,将政策利率提升至6.00%。
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