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焦煤矿端转向累库,双焦跟随成材走弱

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2024-06-05 15:43:31
金十期货6月5日讯,焦煤市场情绪一般,竞拍流拍较少,但价格上涨后高价煤种出现小幅回落;蒙煤市场依旧偏弱,实际成交较少;供应端,上周煤矿整体产能利用率周+0.38%至84.11%,前期停产及检修煤矿产量缓慢恢复,但也有新增事故停产,蒙煤受设备故障影响日通关,整体供应增量有限;需求端,多数焦企开工保持稳定高位,铁水预计也仍有增量空间,但淡季需求见顶预期也对盘面产生压制,下游仅保持按需采购,煤矿库存小幅累积,整体库存压力不大。
整体而言,焦煤供需不紧张,下游虽仍在复产阶段,但淡季需求增量空间有限,对盘面造成压力,从库存端来看,焦煤产端开始由去库转向累库,或是一个值得关注的利空点;但同时前期利空因素基本在盘面中有所体现,在出现新的矛盾之前,盘面或维持震荡偏弱走势,后续关注钢材价格走势为主。
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