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Kalshi research shows that prediction markets outperform the Wall Street consensus on inflation forecasts

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2025-12-22 14:17:13
According to a recent study by Kalshi cited by CoinDesk, prediction markets have significantly outperformed Wall Street professionals in their inflation forecasts, with an average error reduction of 40% over a 25-month period. The study found that this advantage is more pronounced when the economic environment is volatile, with forecast market error being 67% lower than traditional forecasts.
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