According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year fell below 20%, and it is now reported at 19.9%. The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 80.1%. Last week, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in January rose to 31%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March next year is 44.7%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 46.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 8.8%. The Fed's next two FOMC meetings are on January 28 and March 18, 2026.
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in January fell to 19.9%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged in March is 44.7%.
2025-12-22 11:03:38
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