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The probability that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 24.4%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points in March is 8.1%.

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2025-12-14 07:27:26
According to CME Federal Reserve Watch data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March next year is 50.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 41.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 8.1%. The next two FOMC meetings of the Federal Reserve are January 28 and March 18, 2026, respectively.
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