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Analysis: Hedge funds turned to risk aversion before interest rate cuts, and on-chain data shows that BTC may "rise in advance and then fall".

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2025-12-10 11:00:19
According to the latest research from XWIN Research Japan, institutional investors are actively adjusting their positions ahead of the December FOMC meeting. On-chain data shows that BTC balances on major exchanges have declined, while USDT and USDC reserves have risen, indicating that institutions are reducing risk exposure and accumulating stablecoins.
The study pointed out that this pattern is similar to the August-October 2025 period: funding rates soared before the FOMC meeting, fell sharply after the announcement, and bitcoin prices peaked and fell back. The current CME futures unpositioned squaring contracts are stagnant, and large spot holdings are stable, further evidence that professional funds are preparing for volatility.
Analysts advise investors not to chase a pre-conference rally blindly, but to manage risk well in advance, as market volatility around the FOMC typically widens sharply.
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