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Matrixport: Bitcoin's implied volatility continues to decline, and the market gradually decreases the likelihood of an upside by the end of December

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2025-12-10 06:45:27
Matrixport released a daily chart analysis saying that the implied volatility of Bitcoin continues to decline, and with it, the possibility of a significant upward break at the end of the year also decreases. Today's FOMC meeting is the last major catalyst, but once the meeting is over, volatility is likely to continue its downward trend until the holidays.
Without new bitcoin ETF inflows to drive directional momentum, the market could revert to range-bound volatility, an outcome usually associated with a further decline in volatility. In fact, this correction is already underway, with implied volatility declining and the market gradually reducing the likelihood of an upside surprise at the end of December.
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