据 CME「美联储观察」数据，美联储 12 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 86.2%，维持利率不变概率为 13.8%。
美联储将于北京时间 12 月 11 日（周四）3:00 公布美国至 12 月 10 日美联储利率决定，预期 3.75%，前值 4.00%；3:30 美联储主席鲍威尔将召开货币政策新闻发布会。
美联储12月降息25个基点的概率现报86.2%
2025-12-07 09:38:02
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