According to data released by KobeissiLetter, the leading economic indicators in the United States continue to deteriorate, with the ratio of leading economic indicators to synchronized economic indicators falling to 0.85, the lowest level since 2008. This ratio has been declining for four consecutive years.
The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index (LEI) tracks forward-looking data, including consumer expectations, new manufacturing orders, hours worked per week, and initial jobless claims. At the same time, the Synchronous Economic Index (CEI) measures current economic developments, such as nonfarm payrolls, in real time. Historically, every time the ratio has fallen by as much as it is now, the U.S. economy has been in recession.
The ratio of leading U.S. economic indicators to synchronized economic indicators has fallen to 0.85, the lowest level since 2008
2025-12-06 10:42:51
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