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10X Research: In addition to a short-term tactical rebound, the current market does not have the basis for structural long-term growth

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2025-12-06 01:14:22
10X Research wrote on the X platform, "Bitcoin is not a lack of buyers, but a lack of admission. If we can judge the long-short position by only one data indicator, we will not choose market sentiment, global liquidity, inventory-to-flow ratio (S2F) or other popular but low signal strength frameworks.
We will focus on the 30-day Bitcoin inflow indicator - which is once again clear: despite expectations of interest rate cuts and speculation that the Federal Reserve Chair will take a dovish stance in 2026, the current market does not have the basis for structural long, other than a short-term tactical rally.
This indicator has only seen three major peaks, and selling at each peak has significantly outperformed any narrative-based trading strategy.
The lack of sustained inflows also explains why there has not been a real round of counterfeit products: the top pools lack enough incremental capital to generate downward transmission flows. Only when the indicator bottoms out will the next sustainable bull market phase begin; until then, all rallies have been tactical rather than trend turns. "
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