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CryptoQuant: Bitcoin needs to hold $87,000 fair value, $79,000 ETF holding cost and $74,000 volatility floor

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2025-11-18 07:48:22
Axel Adler Jr., an analyst at crypto analyst firm CryptoQuant, makes clear that the market is at the crossroads of the bull-bear divide, and that the next few weeks will depend on holding on to the three "life infras". He warns that the three key prices are "fair value" of $87,000, "average cost of holding a US ETF" of $79,000, and "the lower end of the short-term volatility range" of $74,000.
Holding on to these positions, the current pullback could be just a deep "wash" in a bull market; and if it falls, especially below the fair value of $87,000, the market risk will be dramatically magnified, possibly heralding a deeper pullback or even the beginning of a bear market.
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