William Marshall and Bill Zu of Goldman Sachs said that the increase in the size of US Treasury auctions in the future is likely to favor shorter-dated Treasuries. They expect nominal two-, three-, five- and seven-year Treasury auctions to continue to increase, while floating rate notes will increase less, and 10-, 20- and 30-year Treasury auctions will remain stable. This trend is expected to start in November 2026.
They said: "Over time, we expect this to lower the weighted average maturity (WAM) and see the share of short-term Treasuries rise steadily."
However, with the Federal Reserve expected to buy about 50% of net short-term Treasury supply over the next two years, the share of short-term Treasury holdings held by the private sector is likely to remain roughly stable.
Goldman Sachs: US Treasury is expected to increase the size of short-term Treasury auctions
2025-11-06 07:16:47
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