10X Research posted on social media that the 10-year US Treasury yield (10-year yield above the 7-day moving average → bullish, but below the 30-day moving average → bearish, with a weekly change of -1.2%) fell slightly after the September inflation data cooled, and the monthly inflation rate fell to 0.3% in September and the annual rate fell to 3%, both lower than expected, strengthening market expectations for the Federal Reserve to ease policy.
As investors were optimistic about moderate price growth, the 10-year yield fell below 4.00%, narrowing the spread with the 2-year Treasury note, indicating that recession fears have eased.
Scope Ratings downgraded the US credit rating to AA-, putting temporary upward pressure on yields. The government shutdown delayed the release of economic data, adding to uncertainty and limiting the fall in yields. Auctions of corporate bonds attracted strong demand.
10X Research: 10-year Treasury yields fell slightly after September's inflation data cooled, boosting market bets on Federal Reserve easing
2025-10-25 18:03:30
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