Goldman Sachs' basic forecast remains that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in January 2026
2025-10-22 01:40:10
Goldman Sachs' baseline forecast remains for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in January 2026, though there is a risk of a rate hike in December, three members of Goldman Sachs' economic research division said in a report. The formation of a new government led by Sakae Takaichi, a proponent of Abenomics, has added to the uncertainty surrounding that view. However, Goldman Sachs remains cautiously optimistic about the Bank of Japan's ability to continue raising interest rates, as well as its independence, for four reasons. These include a marked improvement in economic and price conditions in Japan compared to the launch of Abenomics in 2012. It now appears "there is little need for a massive monetary easing like Abenomics". (Jin Ten)
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