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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99%, and the expectation of a rate cut in December is strong

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2025-10-19 22:51:06
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 1%. In addition, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut in December is 94%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 6%. (Jin Ten)
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