Markets up the ante on the Fed cutting interest rates three times this year
2025-10-16 22:14:38
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 96.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 3.7%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 0%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut by 50 basis points is 85%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 14.6% (yesterday's probability was 0%), and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 0.4%.
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